I'm not sure if this is a news flash to any of you, but let me give you some stats that mean something.

A team favored by 7 points figures to win 72% of the time, or in other words, when they win they'll fail to cover 22% of the time.

A team favored by 1.5 points figures to win figures to win 53% of the time, thus they'll win and fail to cover 3% of the time.

Now if you go in and add up all the numbers in between you'll stumble upon this magical stat that says just pick the winner.

Well, here's the newsflash: on every point spread the odds are such that this winning percentage has been taken into account, so unless you have a legit money line play on the team then there is no value just laying the odds because you figure they will win.

This is right up there with betting something because it's 3-1 ATS over the last 4. Mathematically it holds no weight, and you might as well flip a coin!

Did I mention Bills + the points this week?? ;)

A team favored by 7 points figures to win 72% of the time, or in other words, when they win they'll fail to cover 22% of the time.

A team favored by 1.5 points figures to win figures to win 53% of the time, thus they'll win and fail to cover 3% of the time.

Now if you go in and add up all the numbers in between you'll stumble upon this magical stat that says just pick the winner.

Well, here's the newsflash: on every point spread the odds are such that this winning percentage has been taken into account, so unless you have a legit money line play on the team then there is no value just laying the odds because you figure they will win.

This is right up there with betting something because it's 3-1 ATS over the last 4. Mathematically it holds no weight, and you might as well flip a coin!

Did I mention Bills + the points this week?? ;)

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